The Trend of “Revenge Spending” Among Chinese Consumers as the Economy Recovers from the Pandemic

Alex Lew, CFA
8 min readMar 18, 2023

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Introduction

As the Chinese economy shows signs of recovery from the pandemic, a new trend has emerged among its consumers — “revenge spending”. This phenomenon refers to the pent-up demand for luxury goods and services unleashed due to prolonged lockdowns and restrictions. This article will explore the reasons behind this trend and its implications for the Chinese economy and provide case studies and examples to illustrate the phenomenon.

Factors driving “Revenge Spending”

The COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly impacted the global economy, with many countries experiencing a significant contraction in economic activity. In China, the pandemic led to prolonged lockdowns and restrictions, which created a pent-up demand for goods and services. This pent-up demand has been further fueled by rising income levels and social pressure to maintain a particular lifestyle, resulting in a trend known as “revenge spending”.

According to a market research firm Oliver Wyman survey, 62% of Chinese consumers plan to spend more on luxury goods in the next six months. This indicates the sustained demand for high-end products among Chinese consumers. Luxury retailers such as Hermès and Gucci have reported a surge in sales in China, with consumers willing to pay a premium for high-end products. This is partly due to the rising income levels of Chinese consumers, who can increasinglyafford luxury goods. Additionally, there is social pressure to maintain a certain lifestyle, which has further fueled the demand for luxury products.

The trend of “revenge spending” has not been limited to luxury goods. The travel sector has also seen a significant boost, with hotels and resorts experiencing a spike in bookings, particularly for luxury accommodations and experiences. This is likely due to the desire to make up for lost time and the need for a break after prolonged lockdowns and restrictions. Moreover, the restrictions on international travel have led many Chinese consumers to explore domestic travel options, further boosting therecovery of the travel industry in China.

E-commerce platforms have also benefited from the trend of “revenge spending”. One example is the Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba, which reported a record-breaking Singles’ Day sales event in 2020, with consumers spending over $74 billion in just 24 hours. This indicates the scale of the pent-up demand unleashed due to the lockdowns and restrictions.

While the trend of “revenge spending” has significantly impacted theChinese economy in the short term, there are concerns about its long-term sustainability. Some experts predict that consumers may eventually tire of the constant pressure to maintain a particular lifestyle and begin to prioritize saving and investing for the future. Additionally, there are risks associated with overconsumption and unsustainable levels of debt, which could lead to economic instability in the long run.

Impacts on the Chinese Economy

The trend of “revenge spending” has significantly impacted the Chinese economy, particularly in boosting domestic consumption and driving the recovery of particular industries such as luxury goods and travel.

Luxury Goods

The luxury goods sector in China has been one of the industries that have benefited the most from the trend of “revenge spending”. According to a survey conducted by market research firm Oliver Wyman, 62% of Chinese consumers plan to spend more on luxury goods in the next six months, indicating the sustained demand for high-end products among Chinese consumers. Luxury retailers like Hermès and Gucci have reported a surge in sales in China, with consumers willing to pay a premium for high-end products.

The rising income levels of Chinese consumers have played a significant role in driving the demand for luxury goods. In the past two decades, China has experienced a substantial increase in its middle class, with more than 400 million people now considered part of this demographic. The middle class in China is projected to continue growing, with estimates suggesting that it could reach 780 million people by 2025. As the middle class grows, so does its purchasing power, which has fueled the demand for luxury goods.

Additionally, there is social pressure among Chinese consumers to maintain a particular lifestyle, further fueling the demand for luxury products. According to a survey by Bain & Company, Chinese millennials are the world’s largest luxury consumers, with over 60%buying luxury goods. This is partly due to the perception that luxury goods symbolize status and success, which is highly valued in Chinese culture.

The Chinese government has also boosted the luxury goods sector by reducing tariffs on imported luxury goods. In 2018, the government reduced taxes on various goods, including cosmetics, clothing, and household appliances. This has made luxury goods more affordable for Chinese consumers and has contributed to the growth of the luxury goods sector in China.

The impact of “revenge spending” on the luxury goods sector in China is significant, with luxury retailers reporting a surge in sales. However, there are concerns about the long-term sustainability of this trend. Overconsumption and unsustainable debt levels could lead to economic instability in the long run. Policymakers and businesses should be aware of these risks and take steps to ensure the long-term sustainability of the Chinese economy.

Travel

The travel sector in China has seen a significant boost in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, with hotels and resorts experiencing a spike in bookings, particularly for luxury accommodations and experiences. This is likely due to the desire to make up for lost time and the need for a break after prolonged lockdowns and restrictions. A report by McKinsey & Company found that domestic travel in China has already rebounded to pre-pandemic levels, with travelers spending more on accommodations, food, and shopping.

According to data from China’s Ministry of Culture and Tourism, domestic tourism revenue during the recent five-day Labor Day holiday exceeded pre-pandemic levels, reaching around 115.7 billion yuan ($18 billion), an increase of 13.6% from 2019. This indicates the scale of the pent-up demand for travel unleashed due to the pandemic.

Moreover, the restrictions on international travel have led many Chinese consumers to explore domestic travel options, further boosting the recovery of the travel industry in China. A survey conducted by Ctrip, one of China’s largest online travel agencies, found that 64% of Chinese travelers plan to travel domestically in 2021, with over half planning to travel within their province. This suggests that domestic travel will continue to be a significant driver of the recovery of the travel industry in China.

The impact of “revenge spending” on the travel sector in China is significant, with hotels and resorts experiencing a surge in bookings. However, there are concerns about the long-term sustainability of this trend. Overconsumption and unsustainable debt levels could lead to economic instability in the long run. Policymakers and businesses should be aware of these risks and take steps to ensure the long-term sustainability of the Chinese economy.

E-commerce

The trend of “revenge spending” has been observed among Chinese consumers as the country’s economy shows signs of recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. The phenomenon refers to the pent-up demand for luxury goods and services unleashed due to prolonged lockdowns and restrictions. This trend has been fueled by rising income levels, which have enabled consumers to afford luxury goods, and social pressure to maintain a particular lifestyle.

One example of the impact of “revenge spending” on the Chinese economy is the boost in sales experienced by e-commerce platforms such as Alibaba. The Chinese e-commerce giant reported a record-breaking Singles’ Day sales event in 2020, with consumers spending over $74 billion in just 24 hours. This unprecedented level of spending provides quantitative evidence of the scale of the pent-up demand unleashed due to the lockdowns and restrictions.

While the trend of “revenge spending” has significantly impacted the Chinese economy in the short term, there are concerns about its long-term sustainability. Overconsumption and unsustainable debt levels could lead to economic instability in the long run. Policymakers and businesses should be aware of these risks and take steps to ensure the long-term sustainability of the Chinese economy.

Future Outlook and Predictions

The trend of “revenge spending” has emerged among Chinese consumers as the economy shows signs of recovery from the pandemic. This phenomenon refers to the pent-up demand for luxury goods and services unleashed due to prolonged lockdowns and restrictions. According to a survey conducted by market research firm Oliver Wyman, 62% of Chinese consumers plan to spend more on luxury goods in the next six months, indicating sustained demand for high-end products among Chinese consumers. The trend has been fueled by rising income levels and social pressure to maintain a particular lifestyle. The luxury goods sector in China has benefited the most from this trend, with luxury retailers such as Hermès and Gucci reporting a surge in sales. The rising income levels of Chinese consumers have played a significant role in driving the demand for luxury goods. In the past two decades, China has experienced a substantial increase in its middle class, with more than 400 million people now considered part of this demographic. The middle class in China is projected to continue growing, with estimates suggesting that it could reach 780 million people by 2025.

Moreover, there is social pressure among Chinese consumers to maintain a particular lifestyle, further fueling the demand for luxury products. According to a survey by Bain & Company, Chinese millennials are the world’s largest luxury consumers, with over 60%buying luxury goods. This is partly due to the perception that luxury goods symbolize status and success, which is highly valued in Chinese culture.

The impact of “revenge spending” on the luxury goods sector in China is significant, with luxury retailers reporting a surge in sales. Luxury retailers like Hermès and Gucci have reported a rise in sales in China, with consumers willing to pay a premium for high-end products. The Chinese government has also boosted the luxury goods sector by reducing tariffs on imported luxury goods. In 2018, the government reduced taxes on various interests, including cosmetics, clothing, and household appliances. This has made luxury goods more affordable for Chinese consumers and has contributed to the growth of the luxury goods sector in China.

The trend of “revenge spending” has not been limited to luxury goods. The travel sector has also seen a significant boost, with hotels and resorts experiencing a spike in bookings, particularly for luxury accommodations and experiences. According to data from China’s Ministry of Culture and Tourism, domestic tourism revenue during the recent five-day Labor Day holiday exceeded pre-pandemic levels, reaching around 115.7 billion yuan ($18 billion), an increase of 13.6% from 2019. The restrictions on international travel have led many Chinese consumers to explore domestic travel options, further boosting the recovery of the travel industry in China.

In addition to luxury goods and travel, e-commerce platforms have benefited from the “ revenge spending trend”. One example is the Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba, which reported a record-breaking Singles’ Day sales event in 2020, with consumers spending over $74 billion in just 24 hours. This provides quantitative evidence of the scale of the pent-up demand unleashed due to the lockdowns and restrictions.

While the trend of “revenge spending” has significantly impacted theChinese economy in the short term, there are concerns about its long-term sustainability. Overconsumption and unsustainable debt levels couldlead to economic instability in the long run. Policymakers and businesses should be aware of these risks and take steps to ensure the long-term sustainability of the Chinese economy.

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Alex Lew, CFA
Alex Lew, CFA

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